by @TheSchachter

An introduction and explanation of the Simple Rating System can be found at the start of my GW17 article.

Lets start by going over GW17 predictions and results (predictions):

8/11 correct predictions. Remember the model will never predict a team to score 4-5-6 goals. It is all about the predicted margin. I recommended AST attackers last week, as the 1.14 margin suggested a big win. FUL big win (1.21) was denied by a BLA super-keeper. Another thing to keep in mind, when you see a negative predicted margin, meaning that the away team will win, it already suggests a big difference in quality between the teams.
2/3 correct recommendations – AST attackers, MID triple up, Rebrov/TOT to score loads failed, but it was a goal fest after all. Now for GW18 ratings and predictions:
SRS Ratings:

GW18 Predictions:
MUN and MID are the obvious choices, so I will concentrate on other matchups
Bolton attackers should have a field day with a predicted margin of 0.8. Keep in mind the model still considers Leicester great away results at the start of the season, so I believe their rating here should be lower, and it will be if the continue their horrible play this week.

Fulham attackers have another great opportunity to increase their tallies with a home game against Derby. Although Derby did surprise last week with an away win, I predict they will be involved again in a high scoring games and there will be plenty of fantasy points laying around here.

Tottenham suffered a decrease to their home rating after last week’s result. I predict they will bounce back with an easy win against Charlton at home. Rebrov I’m putting my chips on you again, don’t disappoint me.